The Fast Food Industry and Apples

February 11, 2012 in Daily Bulletin, Signature

At Slate Matthew Yglesias wonders why Chipotle Mexican Grill doesn’t get the same kind of attention and accolades that a company like Apple would for stunning growth. He argues that this is because folding burritos is not immediately as glamorous as manufacturing the next mobile revolution, but notes that: “finding ways to get better food more conveniently is exactly the sort of thing you’d expect a wealthy society to be focused on.” His article points out:

  • Chipotle’s growth has been stunning. It has expanded its stores both within the United States and across the world. Chipotle’s stock has risen by 500% in five years.
  • Chipotle’s innovations in burrito-making are similar to the iPhone. In neither case did the company invent the product (burritos or smartphones) but they refined them to focus on speed and experience.
  • Chipotle uses a cooking method for its meat that requires a lot of time, but is extremely precise.

To read more about Chipotle’s performance as well as what American politicians seem to think about it, click here.

Source: Slate

The Fate that Befalls those who Name Stadiums after Themselves

January 26, 2012 in Daily Bulletin, Signature

In Practical Speculation, Niederhoffer finds an interesting relationship between companies that name stadiums after themselves and their subsequent performance. Business Insider reports:

  • Between 1990 and 2001 Companies that bought the naming rights to stadiums trailed the S&P 500 by a median of -8% in the year they named the stadium and a median of -27% three years later
  • The most notable example is Enron which purchased the Enron field in 2000. The infamous company went bankrupt two years later.
  • The author of the study suggested that this was because: “Corporations are beset by the same harmful tendencies as investors. When they are at their peak, they reach for the sun.” (Meaning that it operates on the same principle as the one that might define the relationship between skyscrapers and financial crashes )

To view a slideshow describing what happened to each company that opted to name a stadium after themselves in the 90s click here.

Source: Business Insider

Via: Newmark’s Door

Oh, for the Want of a Lost Decade (or Two!)

January 17, 2012 in Daily Bulletin, Signature

The Japanese Lost Decades have become a parable to all countries who fail to effectively deal with financial crises. Yet as The New York Timesreports, countries around the world would do pretty well to emulate the characteristics of Japan’s previous two decades. The report notes that despite the crash in the stock market and property values, Japan has:

  • Increased life expectancy by 4.2 years to 83. This is despite the rising popularity of the American diet. Key advances in health care have made this possible
  • 38 of the 50 cities with the best internet are located in Japan. In contrast only 3 are located in the United States
  • Japan has built 81 skyscrapers since their financial crash. Over the same time period New York built 64, Chicago built 48 and Los Angeles built 7 despite their prosperity in this time. (Although perhaps this is the reason for Japan’s misery.)

The author of the articles goes on to argue that, in fact, Japan has done significantly better than the United States since 1989 and the reason why most Americans don’t realize this is because of a combination of flaws in methodology and a western mind-set that discounts the successes that the Japanese have had. Moreover the writer suggests that the perception of a weak economy has given a significant boost to Japan.

Source: The New York Times

Tornadoes Take Weekends Off?

January 15, 2012 in Daily Bulletin, Signature

Researchers have found a fascinating pattern. During the summer in the Eastern US storms occur 20% above average in the middle of the week and 20% below average over the weekend. What’s causing tornadoes to take weekends off? And if they suffer from weekday fatigue are they also affected by the Monday blues? While the researchers have failed to respond to our request for comment on the latter question they did have some theories for the former:

  • Air pollution peaks in the middle of the week due to commuter traffic. Moisture gathers around the specks of pollution which leads to more cloud droplets.
  • This relationship does not hold true in the west because the air is too dry and the clouds are too high
  • The researchers conclude that their study: “provides yet another good reason for reducing air pollution”

To read more about the science behind the phenomena click here.

Source: National Geographic

Via: Freakonomics

Strong Correlation between Skyscrapers and Financial Crashes

January 12, 2012 in Daily Bulletin, Signature

Researchers at Barclays have found a strong relationship between the building of skyscrapers and the incidence of subsequent financial crashes. The BBC reports that:

  • Examples of this phenomenon include: The Empire State Building which was built around the time of the Great Depression; Dubai’s Burj Khalifa built as the country almost went bust; The first skyscraper in history: The Equitable Life Building built in 1873 and demolished 39 years later; The Sears Tower and an oil shock; Malaysia’s Petronas Towers and the Asian Financial Crisis.
  • Next up on the danger list are China which is currently the biggest builder of skyscrapers, and India which is building 14 of them. London is also currently constructing The Shard, a skyscraper that will be the tallest in Western Europe.
  • Analysts at Barclays argue that the reason for this phenomenon is that: “Often the world’s tallest buildings are simply the edifice of a broader skyscraper building boom, reflecting a widespread misallocation of capital and an impending economic correction”

Read more about what this could mean for the future of China as well as other developing countries over here.

Source: The BBC

Trade among States Engaged in a World War

January 6, 2012 in Daily Bulletin, Signature

Marginal Revolutiontalks about an interesting phenomenon during World War 1. The British War Effort had a shortage of binoculars and so placed an order for several thousand of them from the leading manufacturer of the time, Germany, who was aware that they were being used for militarily purposes. The Germans told the British that if they wanted to find a catalogue of the kind of binoculars Germany would be able to supply Great Britain, they simply had to examine the equipment of German soldiers that The British had captured. On the other hand when the Germans had a shortage of rubber for their war effort the British delivered it to them in Switzerland.

Why did these belligerents help each other out in their efforts to annihilate one another? Marginal Revolution suggests four theories:

  • Because it was a two front war for Germany, the British believed that the Russians would bear the brunt of the cost of aid to the German war machine.
  • Commercial interests in the two countries drove the deal forward
  • Politicians did it to appeal to military lobbies
  • They were mutually beneficial transactions because the two sides disagreed about what the goods were worth. This happens on Wall Street every day.

To read a wider discussion about the issues involved, and to contribute your own theories you can click here, or suggest something in the comments below.

Source: Marginal Revolution.

$331 Billion in Exports to Mars in 2010?

December 19, 2011 in Daily Bulletin, Signature

The Economist reports that according to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook, the world exported $331 billion more than it imported in 2010. The Economist offers two potential explanations for this phenomenon

  • Extraterrestrials are purchasing earthly goods. The Economist speculates that they may have acquired a taste for Louis Vuitton Handbags.
  • There are statistical errors in the numbers that country’s report. And these errors are increasing at a faster pace.

To find out some of the potential reasons for the statistical discrepancy as well as why the world switched from a global current account deficit to a global current account surplus read the full report over here.

Source: The Economist

To Create A Cheese Burger from Scratch, first you must…

December 7, 2011 in Daily Bulletin, Signature

The Cheese Burger is a common, if easy, staple in American cuisine. One man quickly found that, up until a century ago, the cheese burger couldn’t possibly have existed. Here’s why:

  • If you truly want to start from scratch you have to raise your own cow, mine your own salt, grow wheat for the bun and plant tomatoes, lettuce and onions to finish it off.
  • You’d have to get milk from the cow so that you could produce the butter that would go into making the bun. You’d also need to slaughter it for its rennet to make cheese, and, of course, you’d need the meat for the burger itself. You’d probably need multiple cows and several acres of land.
  • Tomatoes can only be harvested in the summer, and lettuce in the spring. Mammals are normally slaughtered in the winter.
  • Not only would all of this be prohibitively expensive, it would take over a year to put all the parts together. A century ago something like the Cheeseburger would be unthinkable.

Source: Waldo Jaquith

The Price of Gold in the Year 2160

October 2, 2011 in Daily Bulletin, Signature

Centives has previously covered Hugo Chavez’s ‘problem’ of having too much gold. It turns out that he should be far more worried about the future value of his gold stockpile. The Baseline Scenario took a look at what the price of gold will be in the year 2060. The prediction? It will completely crash to the point where it’s close to worthless as a system of currency. The reasoning includes:

  • Commodity based money systems have consistently, throughout history, collapsed.
  • This is because technology inevitably makes the production of commodities too cheap.
  • Gold is likely to be a very common element in Space. A “moderately sized” asteroid named Eros was estimated to be worth over $20 trillion of precious metals in 1999.
  • Everyday humanity comes closer to being able to mine minerals from space. Launch costs alone have dropped from $10,000/kg to $500/kg.

To read some of the challenges involved in being able to mine precious metals from space, as well as some of the solutions that individuals have proposed click here.

Source: The Baseline Scenario

Via: Jake Kennon

How will Chavez Move $12 Billion of Gold back to Venezuela?

August 27, 2011 in Daily Bulletin, Signature

Hugo Chavez has decided that $12 billion worth of gold belonging to Venezuela stored abroad should be brought home. Felix Salmon at Reuters recently considered how the bullion will be moved back to the country. Some highlights from the article include:

  • The cost of transporting the gold is estimated to be around $400 million.
  • Since Chavez has so publicly declared his intentions to transport the metal, the risk of theft is huge. It is unlikely that any insurance company would be willing to insure it under the circumstances.
  • The closest precedent to such a situation is when the government of Spain trucked 560 tons of gold in 1936.

Read more about a market based solution to the problem that Hugo Chavez might chuckle at, as well as other ingenious ways that the gold could be moved.

Source: Reuters

Via: Marginal Revolution